“2024: Ireland Braces for a Year of Elections in Anticipation of Political Shifts and Key Referendums”
Dublin: The upcoming year promises to be a dynamic one for Ireland, marked by a series of impactful events, including elections and referendums. Alongside the local and European elections, there is anticipation of a general election, making 2024 a pivotal year for political developments.
Elections on the Horizon
With local and European elections just six months away, candidate selections and party conventions are underway in preparation for the June polls. The significance of these elections extends beyond their immediate scope, as they are expected to set the tone for the impending general elections.
Projections suggest an improved performance by Sinn Féin compared to the 2019 elections, where the party secured around 9% of the total vote. Recent opinion polls indicate a substantial surge in Sinn Féin’s popularity, potentially resulting in increased seats if these trends persist.
The outcome of the elections carries significant consequences for Prime Minister Leo Varadkar and Fine Gael. Party leaders acknowledge that a setback in the local elections could pose a threat to Varadkar’s leadership.
European Elections
Simultaneously, European elections will be held on the same day, with eleven of the current 13 MEPs expected to contest again. Notable figures like Fine Gael’s Frances Fitzgerald and Deirdre Clune are not participating this time. Several ministers, including Barry Cowen, Colm Brophy, and Josepha Madigan from Fine Gael, are eyeing a European stage. By-elections stemming from these contests will also play a pivotal role in shaping the government’s future.
Potential General Election
While the government’s term extends until March 2025, unforeseen political events could alter this timeline. Some observers believe that changes in Dáil strength after the European election might prompt an early general election. The possibility of Sinn Féin gaining prominence has garnered support for such a move among the opposition. The final decision on a general election rests with the prime minister, though coalition leaders will have input.
Limerick Making History
June 2024 will witness a historic event in Limerick, where residents will directly elect their mayor. This election coincides with the regional and European elections, marking the first time in Ireland that a mayor will be chosen through a direct election.
Two Referendums
Scheduled for March 8, 2024, the referendum on women’s duties at home aims to broaden the definition of family with a focus on gender equality. Discussions will encompass aspects of marriage and extra-marital relations, necessitating constitutional changes. Support from opposition parties and civil society groups is deemed crucial for the success of this referendum.
Additionally, Ireland faces a decision on joining the unified patent court system to harmonise patent laws across EU member states. Although less politically charged, garnering support for this referendum is essential, with the date yet to be announced, potentially in January.
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